Benfica vs Celtic Prediction - UEFA Europa League 10/16

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Final

UEFA Europa LeagueKickoff: Oct 16, 2026, 03:00 AM GMT+8

Benfica

4—1

Celtic

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Pick

Match result

Benfica win

56%

Full game

Match result

Hit

Benfica win56%

Benfica
56%
Draw
23%
Celtic
21%

Actual 4 - 1

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Handicap

Line Benfica -1.5

Miss

Validating

Celtic +1.559%

Benfica
41%
Celtic
59%

Actual 4 - 1

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Total

Line 3.5

Miss

Validating

Under 3.561%

Over
39%
Under
61%

Actual 4 - 1

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Home team total

Line 2.5

Miss

Validating

Under 2.562%

Over
38%
Under
62%

Actual 4 - 1

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Away team total

Line 1.5

Hit

Validating

Under 1.562%

Over
38%
Under
62%

Actual 4 - 1

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Total odd or even

Hit

Validating · n=268

Odd54%

Odd
54%
Even
46%

Actual 4 - 1

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Double chance

Hit

Validating · n=268

Benfica or draw78%

Benfica or draw
78%
Benfica or Celtic
77%
Draw or Celtic
45%

Actual 4 - 1

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Draw no bet

Hit

Validating · n=203

Benfica win55%

Benfica
55%
Celtic
22%
Push
23%

Actual 4 - 1

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Total goals band

Miss

Validating · n=268

2-3 goals41%

0-1 goals
22%
2-3 goals
41%
4-5 goals
30%
6+ goals
7%

Actual 4 - 1

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Both teams to score

Hit

Validating · n=268

Yes56%

Yes
56%
No
44%

Actual 4 - 1

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Correct score

Miss

Validating · n=268

1-110%

1-1
10%
2-1
10%
1-0
9%
2-0
8%
0-1
7%
0-0
6%

Actual 4 - 1

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First team to score

Hit

Validating · n=268

Benfica59%

Benfica
59%
Celtic
34%
No goal
7%

Actual 4 - 1

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First half

First-half result

Miss

Validating · n=268

Draw40%

Benfica
40%
Draw
40%
Celtic
19%

Actual 4 - 1

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First-half handicap

Line Benfica -0.5

Miss

Validating

Celtic +0.555%

Benfica
45%
Celtic
55%

Actual 3 - 0

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First-half total

Line 1.5

Miss

Validating

Under 1.558%

Over
42%
Under
58%

Actual 3 - 0

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Other

Half-time / full-time

Hit

Validating · n=268

HT home / FT home35%

HT home / FT home
35%
HT draw / FT home
18%
HT draw / FT draw
14%
HT away / FT away
12%
HT draw / FT away
8%
HT home / FT draw
5%

Actual 4 - 1

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Information market only. No betting, trading, deposits, or guaranteed outcomes.

Match info

League: UEFA Europa League
Kickoff: Oct 16, 2026, 03:00 AM GMT+8
Venue: Estádio da Luz
Status: Final

Pre-match analysis

Strength rating (Elo)

Benfica1760

Home advantage+60

Celtic1650

Effective gap+170

The model compares home Elo + home advantage − away Elo; the larger the gap, the more the win probability leans that way.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	AFC Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Ferencvaros	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Olympiacos	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Sunderland	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Sparta Prague	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Union St.-Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Stade Rennais	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Jagiellonia Bialystok	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	OFI Crete	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Torreense	2	1	0	1	0	3
20	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	0	3
21	RB Salzburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Real Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Hapoel Be'er	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Levski Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
26	SK Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
27	NEC Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
28	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	-2	0
29	Celta Vigo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
30	TSG Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
31	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-4	0
32	Viktoria Plzen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
34	Celtic	2	0	0	2	-5	0
35	NK Celje	2	0	0	2	-5	0
36	Lech Poznan	2	0	0	2	-8	0